Emilia Álvarez is a Researcher at Epoch AI. She previously worked as a mathematical and statistical consultant, and holds a PhD in mathematics from the University of Bristol.
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By Emilia Álvarez
Report
Nov. 4, 2026
Updating the Epoch Capabilities Index methodology to use a Bayesian model
A Bayesian model gives the ECI better-justified uncertainty estimates and lets us compare models directly.
By Emilia Álvarez and Alexander Barry
Emilia Álvarez
Emilia Álvarez is a Researcher at Epoch AI. She previously worked as a mathematical and statistical consultant, and holds a PhD in mathematics from the…